Geopoliitika vallast

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ruger
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Postitus Postitas ruger »

Saudi Araabia kaalub naftamaksete eest Hiina juaanis maksete saamist-senise dollari asemel.
Saudi Arabia Considers Accepting Yuan Instead of Dollars for Chinese Oil Sales
This is very important
https://twitter.com/CasusBellii/status/ ... 9054116866

Sama teema Indial hakata juaani kasutama dollari asemel Venemaaga kauplemisel...
India reportedly explores yuan in oil trade with Russia, as frustration grows over US sanctions
https://twitter.com/anianisetta/status/ ... 3584376832
Viimati muutis ruger, 16 Mär, 2022 1:19, muudetud 1 kord kokku.
Ainus, mida me ajaloost õpime, on see, et keegi ei õpi ajaloost midagi.
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Xender
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Re: Geopoliitika vallast

Postitus Postitas Xender »

Tegelikult räägime me siin summast umbes nii 26 miljardit dollarit. Kuna Saudide eksport ja import hiinaga on pmt võrdne siis põhimõtteliselt midagi ei muutu. See reaalselt löök rohkem dollarile kui vaaluuta prändile.
NGolf
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Re: Geopoliitika vallast

Postitus Postitas NGolf »

Pilt

FT ülevaade Hiina väljavaadetest. Hiina on kogu aeg peljanud mereblokaadi. Lääne ühtsus ja sõjakassa külmutamine, mis juhtus Venemaaga, paneb Hiina väga tõsiselt järele mõtlema, keda edaspidi toetada. Ja see, et Venemaa ei saa Ukrainast jagu, on tõsine ohusignaal senistele plaanidele Taiwan ära võtta- too on sõjatehnilisielt palju keerukam operatsioon.


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https://www.ft.com/content/75701f79-2ed ... 0473ffabce

China is now having to digest the news that, as a result of western sanctions, Russia has lost access to most of its foreign reserves. As the economist Barry Eichengreen points out, one of the main reasons that countries hold foreign reserves is “as a war chest to be tapped in a geopolitical conflict”. But China, which has the world’s largest foreign reserves, has just discovered that it could lose access to its war chest overnight.

China is not nearly self-sufficient in either energy or food. It has worried for decades about the “Malacca Dilemma” — the threat that the US navy could blockade China by cutting off key shipping routes. China’s huge investments in its navy are partly aimed at averting that possibility. Now, however, Beijing has to consider the possibility that a freezing of the country’s foreign reserves, allied to other financial sanctions, could be just as threatening as a naval blockade.

Frustratingly for China, there is no easy way out of this. The obvious solution would be for it to trade increasingly in its own currency, the renminbi. But Beijing has shied away from making the RMB fully convertible, fearing that this would lead to destabilising capital flight.
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The fact that the EU, UK, Swiss, South Koreans, Japanese and Singaporeans have joined in the financial sanctions on Russia has created a united front of developed economies that should concern Beijing. China has repeatedly measured itself directly against the US, ticking off milestones as it goes: largest trading power, largest economy measured by purchasing power, largest navy. Yet if China now has to measure itself against not just the US, but also the EU, UK, Japan, Canada and Australia, its relative position looks much less powerful.

It is clear that trying to isolate China economically would be much harder than imposing sanctions on Russia — which is itself hardly painless. China is deeply integrated into western supply chains. Many western multinationals have put China at the centre of their business strategies.

For that reason, even some of America’s China hawks have accepted that economic interdependence between the US and China is a given. But a global crisis causes people to re-examine basic assumptions. The idea of an economic severance of China from the west, once unthinkable, is beginning to look more plausible. It might even appeal to the growing constituency of economic nationalists in the west who now regard globalisation as a disastrous error.

China’s military calculations also suddenly look more complicated. If the experienced Russian army cannot easily prevail in a land invasion of Ukraine, how could China carry off the much more complex seaborne invasion of Taiwan? The Ukrainian experience suggests that the Taiwanese would fight back and that China would have to accept heavy casualties — as the west poured in military aid to Taiwan. And while President Joe Biden has repeatedly ruled out fighting for Ukraine, he has suggested that the US would defend Taiwan.

https://www.ft.com/content/75701f79-2edd-4a46-98e7-620473ffabce
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Kilo Tango
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Re: Geopoliitika vallast

Postitus Postitas Kilo Tango »

Viskan siia lingi, kus saab kiiresti ja mugavalt vaadata erinevate riikide rahvastikupüramiide ja rahhvastiku progrnoosi. Kuna rahvastiku juurdekasv on majanduskasvu üks olulisemaid komponente, siis see on ka geopoliitika jaoks oluline teema.

https://www.populationpyramid.net/world/2100/
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ruger
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Re: Geopoliitika vallast

Postitus Postitas ruger »

Paar päeva tagasi oli Vikerraadios saates mainitud, et Venemaal võib tänu sellele sõjale ja seal noorte meeste surma saamisele tekkida tõsine probleem, kus Vene naistele ei jätku enam sama ealisi mehi, kellega peret luua. Selgelt mitmel pool ka on üksuste suurte kaotuste korral alles jäänud piirkondadesse nende eelnevate abikaasad-elukaaslased. Et Venemaale on hädasti vaja inimesi juurde. Muidu demograafiline probleem muutub järjest tõsisemaks. Ehk võtavad siis Hiina mehi varsti vastu. Mõnikümmend miljonit oleks valmis ehk kohe minema ... 5 aasta pärast tehtaks antud piirkonnas juba hiinakeelseid uudiseid ja tänavatel eksiks kohalikud ära, kuna sildid enamus poleks enam venekeelsed. Mitmel pool ka nii juba on.
Ainus, mida me ajaloost õpime, on see, et keegi ei õpi ajaloost midagi.
Live for nothing or die for something.
Kui esimene kuul kõrvust mõõda lendab, tuleb vastu lasta.
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Some
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Re: Geopoliitika vallast

Postitus Postitas Some »

Ei usu, et venelasi selles sõjas miljonites surma saab...
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Gideonic
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Re: Geopoliitika vallast

Postitus Postitas Gideonic »

Some kirjutas: 14 Juun, 2022 23:15 Ei usu, et venelasi selles sõjas miljonites surma saab...
See tundub propamaiguline jah. Ainuüksi ukrainast ümberasustatud orvud korvavad senised kaotused
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kaur3
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Re: Geopoliitika vallast

Postitus Postitas kaur3 »

VF sündivus on korrelatsioonis nafta maailmaturu hindadega.
http://www.demoscope.ru/weekly/2022/0949/rossia01.php#1
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