Re: Venemaa sõjaline võimekus ja armeereform(id)
Postitatud: 25 Juul, 2025 21:42
Zapadiks valmistumisega on orkid ja Valgevene pihta hakanud.
Zapad 2025 praegune programm+ eelnevad õppused
https://x.com/InsiderGeo/status/1894379097435812056
https://x.com/AseyevStanislav/status/19 ... 27340372361. In September, Belarus will host joint exercises with Russia "West-2025", as well as directly related exercises "Interaction-2025", "Search-2025" and "Echelon-2025". In May 2025, the Baltic Fleet already held major exercises, and now new exercises called "July Storm" have begun.
2. Almost all tanks have disappeared from the front in Ukraine, but their production and restoration have not ceased. This means that they are accumulating somewhere.
3. Modernization and strengthening of railways and bridges is underway, and new branches are being built in the direction of the borders with the Baltic countries.
4. Large field hospitals, fuel and lubricants and ammunition depots are being created in Belarus and the Kaliningrad region.
5. Civil defense exercises were held in Kaliningrad.
6. The Moscow and, more importantly, the Leningrad military districts were recreated.
7. The draft into the Russian army has ceased to be seasonal (spring-fall) and has become year-round.
8. A massive purge of semi-official Telegram channels has begun.
9. WhatsApp (and possibly Telegram) is being shut down with a transition to the domestic Max.
Now the interpretation:
1. Russia's attacks on Ukraine in 2014 and 2022 began under the cover of military exercises.
2. Putin is not so afraid of war, the military economy is already working at full capacity, as he is afraid of peace - when the entire pyramid that was built collapses, hundreds of thousands of soldiers with weapons will return from the front, and there will be nothing to justify the repressions with.
3. The Russian Security Council is confident that Estonians, Lithuanians and Latvians will not resist as much as Ukrainians. In addition, they lack the combat experience that only two countries in the world have today - Russia and Ukraine. Plus a huge "fifth column".
4. Since all decisions in NATO are taken collectively, there is always hope "to talk away" their adoption with the help of Putin's reliable friends - Hungary and Slovakia. And is Paris ready to die for Kaunas?
5. Cutting through a corridor to Kaliningrad, together with the "return to the native harbor" of Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia, as well as the final annexation of Belarus, plus four "new" regions in Ukraine can be sold to the electorate for a complete and final victory.
Dmitry Chernyshev
And my small remark: the invasion of the Baltic countries will not happen after, but in parallel with the war in Ukraine (possibly frozen for a while).
Zapad 2025 praegune programm+ eelnevad õppused
https://x.com/InsiderGeo/status/1894379097435812056