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Tegelikult uudiseid, usutavaid linke-mida iganes, ei ole. Praktiliselt kõik on pausil.
https://xxtomcooperxx.substack.com/p/uk ... um=reader2most important news is that since 30 October, the Keystone Cops are trying to mimic Wagner PMC’s operations from the Bakhmut area of the last winter. They have returned parts of ex-Wagner units back to the front, and are now combining these with Storm-Z-Detachments: convicts, poorly trained, inadequately dressed, given arms and then sent into attacks without properly air- or artillery support.
Sure, the incompetence of Russian commanders at tactical levels is meanwhile reaching such low levels that all the units are ‘steered per remote control’ by generals from headquarters well away from the frontline – apparently: directly by the Keystone Cops in Moscow. These issuing orders, including detailed instructions, about routes and methods of attacks. Without sufficient reconnaissance or mutual support between different units.
No steps are taken for recovery of casualties from the battlefield (which is further increasing the number of Russian casualties) and whatever different units are doing in this regards – is constantly hampered by Ukrainian artillery, which is meanwhile dominating this battlefield. As a consequence, yes, Russian losses are regularly reaching 60-70% of the involved personnel.
BUT, do not make a mistake: the tactics of launching such – disorganised, poorly planned, and based on entirely unrealistic assumptions – attacks, is having its results, too. One should keep in mind that killing, say, 70 out of 100 attacking Russian convicts, not only costs ammunition and time, but is making Ukrainian troops tired. And then there are not only 30 others that are still alive, but the Russians are promptly sending another 100 into a new attack… As assessed already in my last update, and mentioned above: that’s where only the superiority of Ukrainian artillery can make the difference. ….as long as the same is receiving enough ammunition…
Besides, while the Russian artillery is failing, it’s gradually replaced by a huge number of FPVs. Moreover, operators of the Russian FPVs are getting ever better. Over the last few days, they’ve knocked out at least two Leopard 2s and T-64s each, at least one Bradley, and about a dozen of other armoured vehicles of the ZSU.
It is in this fashion that the Russians have not only secured the slag heap, but most of the territory north of it, all the way along the eastern side of the railway berm, by yesterday. This morning, the news is that they have managed to cross the railway and are assaulting directly on Stepove. They’re also close to the Avdiivka Coke Works, though not yet inside it: assaults are almost relentless, and regardless how many casualties are they suffering, how often are they forced to withdraw, the Russians are still coming in huge numbers.
See on malemäng. Venemaa starteegia iseensest on õige - kui sul on rohkem sõdureid siis tuleb vastase sõdureid kulutada kasvõi ründel peaasi, et vastasel saaksid sõdurid ennem otsa (kurnamissõda!). Kuid see võib olla kaotusega malemäng - kui juhtuma peaks, et Venemaal saavad sõdurid enne otsa... (siis on matt)Kriku kirjutas: ↑04 Nov, 2023 7:19 Tom Cooperi tsitaat olukorrast Avdejevkas 1.11 allpool. Hinnang langeb põhimõtteliselt kokku nende akf-ide postitustega, kes räägivad sellest, et Venemaa võib kas Bahmuti või Avdejevkasse või kuhu tahes ükskõik kui palju elavjõudu matta ja lõpuks saab ikkagi kätte.
3) Miks siis Venemaa strateegia selline on? Minu arust on võimalikud kolm põhjust:
a) nad enda hinnangul ei saa endale majanduslikult või poliitiliselt "külmutatud konflikti" nagu 2014-2022 lubada;
b) nad on arvamusel, et jätkuva survega õnnestub neil Ukraina armee ära kulutada ja lõpuks hakkavad võidud kiiremini tulema;
c) nad ootavad, et lääs Ukraina toetamise lõpetaks.
O.Petrenko kirjeldab hiljutist venelaste efektiivset rünnakut:
Jep, nii ongi. Ja seda "kinnitavad" ka kõik järgnevad videod :
Petrenko kommentaar ja minu järeldused käisid ühe konkreetse lahingu kohta näitena sellest, et ka venelastel on komandöre, kes suudavad organiseerida efektiivseid rünnakuid.navigator kirjutas: ↑04 Nov, 2023 11:18Jep, nii ongi. Ja seda "kinnitavad" ka kõik järgnevad videod :
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/ ... 9903432808
https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/sta ... 2223445430
https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/ ... 7875461158
