Tõstsin paar nupukest ümber "Õhutõrje" teema alt.
RAND'i mehed on Taiwani õhuväe osas skeptilised.
F-16 Sale to Taiwan, Would It Make A Difference?
http://defensetech.org/2010/03/15/f-16- ... #more-6146Actually, RAND did the math on this one in a report last year, in typical RAND style, using sophisticated modeling to simulate a Chinese invasion of Taiwan in the 2010–2015 timeframe. RAND’s conclusion was that the addition of a few dozen upgraded F-16s would have little to no impact on the cross-strait balance. In fact, RAND found that in the event of a Chinese attack, “the air war for Taiwan could essentially be over before much of the Blue air force has even fired a shot.”
It’s not the Chinese air fleet that would deliver the knock out blow to Taiwanese air power. Rather, its China’s massive arsenal of ballistic missiles that in an opening salvo would destroy most Taiwanese aircraft, even those in hardened shelters, and wreck its runways before Taiwan was able to launch its fighters.
Adding new F-16s to China’s inventory does little to change the ultimate outcome. Well, more Taiwanese aircraft would make a small contribution RAND found: “Taiwan’s air power can at least contribute to the anti-invasion defense by absorbing as much of China’s air effort as possible in the process of being put out of action.” In other words, parking more fighters on Taiwan’s ramps would make the Chinese deplete more of its missile magazines.
The answer to the cross-strait military balance will not come in the form of more short range tactical fighters sat on ramps within range of China’s massive missile force. As the RAND study conclusively shows, selling Taiwan more capable F-16s does nothing to change the military balance.
Hiinlased hoiavad silma peal.
http://www.kommersant.ru/doc.aspx?DocsID=1334077В начале марта зрители американского телеканала CBS смогли ненадолго погрузиться в мир шпионажа. В передаче 60 минут они увидели запись снятого скрытой камерой разговора сотрудника Пентагона Грегга Бергерсена и американского бизнесмена тайваньского происхождения по имени Ко Тайшэнь. Мне очень, очень, очень не хочется передавать вам эти документы, потому что все они засекречены,— говорил Бергерсен своему собеседнику,— но я покажу вам их. Ролик был записан ФБР в 2007 году, и Бергерсен предлагал Ко ознакомиться с описанием системы обороны Тайваня, а также с перечнем вооружений, которые США планировали поставить острову в ближайшие пять лет.
Mõned arvavad, et relvalobi teeb usinalt tööd.
http://www.wired.com/dangerroom/2010/03 ... an-strait/Back in January, the Defense Intelligence Agency issued a stark assessment of Taiwan’s air power: Without a serious upgrade, the report said, Taiwan’s air defenses would not be able to fight off an attack by China. The Pentagon report — which was sent to Congress in January, but only became public last month — noted the growing obsolescence of Taiwan’s fighter inventory, which includes F-5 Tigers, Mirage 2000-5s and some older F-16A/Bs. “Taiwan recognizes that it needs a sustainable replacement for obsolete and problematic airframes,” the unclassified version of the report said.
That came as welcome news to Taiwan, which has been lobbying to buy more advanced F-16s, the F-16C/D model, from the United States. (China, predictably, is opposed to the plan.)
But here’s the catch: The F-16 production line is eventually going to shut down as the United States and its allies switch to the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter. Now members of Congress are now stepping up pressure on the administration to sell the aircraft, in part to keep a production line in Fort Worth, Texas, open.
And that proves the old adage: All politics is local, even when we’re talking about the Taiwan Strait. In a floor statement this week, Sen. Jon Cornyn of Texas appealed for the sale to go through. The reason? Constituent jobs.
“Taiwan needs these F-16 C/D aircraft now,” he said. “… If hard orders are not received for Taiwan’s F-16s this year, the U.S. production line will likely be forced to start shutting down. Once the line begins closing, personnel will be shifted to other programs, inventory orders will be cancelled, and machine tools will be decommissioned. When the F-16 line eventually goes ‘cold,’ it is not realistic to expect that it would be restarted.”
Süüria üritas 1982 sedasi massiga peale lennata, mis juhtus, teame me kõik, Iisrael võitis kuivalt 82:0.
