NATO artikkel 5

[Kriku]

Hiina Lõuna-Hiina meres just nii toimetabki, et seab ennast mingitele närustele luidetele või karidele sisse .

[ruger]

USA tõstab oma Euroopa üksuste lahinguvalmiduse taset 4-ndale tasemele (5-st). Level CHARLIE.

US military bases in Europe raise security threat levels

Level Charlie, “applies when an incident occurs or intelligence is received indicating some form of terrorist action or targeting against personnel or facilities is likely"

EUCOM statement coming

https://x.com/akihheikkinen/status/1807404139355275534
Originaalallikas

STUTTGART, Germany — U.S. military bases in Europe were put on a heightened state of alert over the weekend as installations urged vigilance among their members.

At U.S. European Command headquarters in Stuttgart, the Army garrison on Sunday issued a communitywide alert that the force protection threat level was elevated to condition “Charlie” until further notice.

Similar directives were sent to other bases in Germany, including the Army’s Rheinland-Pfalz and Ramstein Air Base, which together form the largest U.S. military community overseas. The Rheinland-Pfalz garrison alert includes Baumholder and outlying installations in Romania and Bulgaria.

Aviano Air Base in Italy also rose its condition level to Charlie, and other installations in Italy introduced enhanced security measures.

The Charlie threat level “applies when an incident occurs or intelligence is received indicating some form of terrorist action or targeting against personnel or facilities is likely,” according to the Army’s website.

Service members and others should anticipate significant delays at gate entry points because of increased security, according to the alerts.

U.S. Army garrison in Stuttgart referred questions about the change in force protection to EUCOM.

EUCOM said in a statement Sunday that it is “constantly assessing a variety of factors that play into the safety of the U.S. military community abroad. As part of that effort, we often times take additional steps to ensure the safety of our service members.”

Military community members should report any suspicious activity, monitor State Department travel advisories and take precautions to minimize personal risk, the statement added.

Typically, military commands decline to get into specifics about changes in force protection measures for security reasons.

On Saturday, Spangdahlem Air Base, an installation in rural western Germany, issued its own alert that said 52nd Fighter Wing airmen were prohibited from wearing their uniforms off base as a precaution, and must commute in civilian clothing.

Spangdahlem officials on Saturday said that measures are in place to protect the community but that for “operational security reasons,” the base could not provide more details.

In years past, commands have taken similar action on uniform wearing over concerns about terrorism threats. In 2010, EUCOM issued a directive that temporarily prohibited troops from wearing uniforms off post.

In 2014, EUCOM limited uniform wearing off base to commuting, a restriction that the command began to relax in 2022.

The military sets force protection levels at either Normal, Alpha, Bravo, Charlie or Delta, the highest state of alert. Bravo became common on bases for many years following the 9/11 attacks.

Charlie sets in motion “curtailment plans for nonessential personnel,” according to the Army.

Garrison officials in Stuttgart said that a variety of services would not be available because of the increased threat level. From Sunday until further notice, some of those reduced services included access to some eateries and on-post barber shops.

“Many other services will have significant numbers of employees teleworking or offices will be opened with reduced staff. Customers should maintain flexibility and allow for longer-than-normal service times,” the garrison said in a statement.

In recent weeks, U.S. officials have been sounding the alarm on increased terrorism threats, stemming from the Oct. 7 Hamas attack on Israel and the ongoing war in Gaza.

“We’ve seen the threat from foreign terrorists rise to a whole ‘nother level after October 7,” FBI director Christopher Wray said in June 4 written testimony before the Senate.

https://www.stripes.com/theaters/europe ... 42506.html

[ruger]

Donald Trumpi plaan NATO osas...

Here is Trump's emerging plan for NATO if he is re-elected president:

— The U.S. would step back from being the primary provider of combat power in Europe.

— European countries would be expected to take on a much larger military role and burden.

— The U.S. would keep its airpower and bases in Germany, England and Türkiye. Naval forces would also be maintained.

— Bulk of infantry, armor, logistics and artillery would pass from American to European hands.

— Countries not meeting the 2% GDP defense spending target may not receive full U.S. security guarantees.

— Negotiate with Putin over how much Ukrainian territory Russia can keep. Commit to no further NATO expansion, specifically excluding Ukraine and Georgia.

— Push for a quick end to the war, potentially pressuring Ukraine to cede some territory.

— Demand European countries drastically increase NATO spending beyond the 2% target.

— The U.S. would remain in NATO if European countries "play fair" and increase their contributions.

— Shift U.S. military focus more towards countering China, with Europeans taking lead in Europe.

Source: Politico

https://x.com/clashreport/status/1808199432330268843

[ruger]

Arvestades toimuvaid "õnnetusi" NATO riikides, peab lõpuks NATO aru saama, et ollaksegi orkistaniga reaalses sõjas. Niikaua kuni endal müts peas ei põle, ei saada sellest aru. Niikaua orkistan vaikselt läbi õnnetuste hävitab olulist infrat, mille taastamisega läheb aastaid. Suhtumises peab toimuma muutus. Pole reaalset tulevahetust, aga vaikselt ja vaikselt orkid susivad, kuni lõpuks käib pauk kuskil suuremas kohas. Kes tegi-ISE TEGI. Scholz saab varsti jälle deeply concerned öelda. Taurused Ukrainale ja tootmine käima. Kui Euroopa tahab oma pehmodest väärtustest eluvaimu leida siis tuleb ka tegutsema hakata. Varsti teeb USA ka deeply concerned ja imege sõrme, kui oma riigikaitsele pole viitsinud ega soovinud tähelepanu pöörata.

See on alles õied, mida hetkel näeme. Peame valmis olema reaalseks sabotaažiaktide laineks, mis hakkab Euroopat väga mõjutama. Sügis-talvel näiteks. Meil vaja präänikut närida, nagu klassikuid tsiteerides.

[_dumbuser_]

Arvestades toimuvaid "õnnetusi" NATO riikides, peab lõpuks NATO aru saama, et ollaksegi orkistaniga reaalses sõjas. Niikaua kuni endal müts peas ei põle, ei saada sellest aru. Niikaua orkistan vaikselt läbi õnnetuste hävitab olulist infrat, mille taastamisega läheb aastaid. Suhtumises peab toimuma muutus. Pole reaalset tulevahetust, aga vaikselt ja vaikselt orkid susivad, kuni lõpuks käib pauk kuskil suuremas kohas. Kes tegi-ISE TEGI. Scholz saab varsti jälle deeply concerned öelda. Taurused Ukrainale ja tootmine käima. Kui Euroopa tahab oma pehmodest väärtustest eluvaimu leida siis tuleb ka tegutsema hakata. Varsti teeb USA ka deeply concerned ja imege sõrme, kui oma riigikaitsele pole viitsinud ega soovinud tähelepanu pöörata.

See on alles õied, mida hetkel näeme. Peame valmis olema reaalseks sabotaažiaktide laineks, mis hakkab Euroopat väga mõjutama. Sügis-talvel näiteks. Meil vaja präänikut närida, nagu klassikuid tsiteerides.

Sellist nuttu ja hala on tonnide kaupa. (ei midagi isiklikku) Kas on ka mingi võimalus kuidas seda asja otsustajatele seletada ? Niikaua kuni see on mingites suvalistes foorumites ei muutu ju suures pildis mitte midagi.

[ruger]

orkistani seosega info oli siis USA Euroopas CHARLIE peale tõstetud ohutaseme taga.

US military bases across Europe were placed on a heightened state of alert last week for the first time in a decade after the US received intelligence that Russian-backed actors were considering carrying out sabotage attacks against US military personnel and facilities, multiple sources familiar with the matter told CNN.

The intelligence the US received suggested that Russia had included US bases and military personnel as options to attack via proxies, the sources said — similar to plots that have been carried out or disrupted across Europe in recent months.

In April, two German-Russian nationals were arrested for allegedly plotting bomb and arson attacks on targets including US military facilities on behalf of Russia.

The intelligence, which the US received within the last two weeks and has not been previously reported, was deemed alarming enough to implement additional safety protocols, the sources said. Several US military bases in Europe raised their alert level to Force Protection Condition “Charlie,” which “applies when an incident occurs or intelligence is received indicating some form of terrorist action or targeting against personnel or facilities is likely,” according to the US Army.

A senior NATO official said on Tuesday that the alliance had “significantly increased” its intelligence sharing around “Russia’s campaign of covert sabotage activities” in Europe, which have become increasingly brazen and aggressive in recent months amid elections across the West — a “prime opportunity” for Russia to try to undermine public support for Ukraine, the official said

US European Command declined to comment directly on what caused the force protection change last week. But a spokesperson, Cmdr. Dan Day, said that “our increase in vigilance is not related to any one single threat, but due to a combination of factors potentially impacting the safety and security of US forces in the European theater.”

The threat of Russia-backed sabotage efforts has become particularly acute in recent months, amid a series of arson attacks and bombing plots across Europe—including fires and explosions in Riga, Latvia; London; Warsaw, Poland; Prague, the Czech Republic; and Paris — that European security officials have linked to Russia.

In London in March, several men were charged with working with Russian intelligence services to set fire to a Ukrainian-linked warehouse. Poland is investigating whether an arson attack that destroyed Warsaw’s largest mall in May was connected to Russia and has arrested nine people in connection with Russia-linked acts of sabotage, the prime minister said in May. And French authorities last month detained a Russian-Ukrainian man who was allegedly building bombs as part of a sabotage campaign orchestrated by Moscow.

By outsourcing the attacks to local actors, Russia likely believes it can wage a hybrid war that falls below the threshold of armed, state-on-state conflict, officials say. But a senior NATO official said the sabotage campaign is getting increasingly brazen and aggressive.

“What we’re seeing now is a more concerted, more aggressive effort, than what we’ve seen certainly since the Cold War,” the official said on Tuesday. “We’re seeing sabotage, assassination plots, arson — real things that have cost human lives.”

https://edition.cnn.com/2024/07/09/poli ... index.html

[ruger]

NATO tippkohtumisel räägitu. orkide sabotaaažilaine võib olla põhjus artikkel 5. väljakuulutamiseks.

The USA and Germany thwarted a Russian plot to kill the CEO of German Rheinmetall, which was sending weapons to Ukraine, — CNN

And yesterday it was decided at the NATO summit:
Aggressive actions of the Russian Federation may force the Alliance to apply Article 5: the NATO declaration

"Russia has increased its aggressive hybrid actions against Allies, including actions through intermediaries," the document says.

Such actions include sabotage, acts of violence, provocations at Alliance borders, the use of illegal migration, malicious cyber attacks, electronic intrusion, disinformation campaigns, political influence, and economic coercion.

https://x.com/jurgen_nauditt/status/1811440756449481030

[krizz]

Ma ei saa nüüd aru, et kas siis, kui Poola hakkab Ukraina loal tema piiri läheduses potentsiaalselt talle ohtlikke rakette alla laskma, NATO viies artikkel enam ei kehti? Kui Venemaa selle peale Poolale midagi teeb, siis NATO keerab selja ja ütleb - ise tegid, ise oled süüdi, vaata nüüd ise, kuidas saad. Lasteaed... Aus oleks NATO ja USA ja Co poolt avalikult ütelda, et me ei taha Ukraina võitu ja asi ants. Nii see paraku ongi. Ei tahetud ju omal ajal ka Balti riikide iseseisvumist, et me siin "paati ei kõigutaks", sest mine sa tea, mis selle tuumariigiga juhtub. Ega midagi polegi muutunud. Ainult retoorika lollidele ja endale rahustamiseks.

[krijgsvolk]

Ma ei saa nüüd aru, et kas siis, kui Poola hakkab Ukraina loal tema piiri läheduses potentsiaalselt talle ohtlikke rakette alla laskma, NATO viies artikkel enam ei kehti? Kui Venemaa selle peale Poolale midagi teeb, siis NATO keerab selja ja ütleb - ise tegid, ise oled süüdi, vaata nüüd ise, kuidas saad. Lasteaed... Aus oleks NATO ja USA ja Co poolt avalikult ütelda, et me ei taha Ukraina võitu ja asi ants. Nii see paraku ongi. Ei tahetud ju omal ajal ka Balti riikide iseseisvumist, et me siin "paati ei kõigutaks", sest mine sa tea, mis selle tuumariigiga juhtub. Ega midagi polegi muutunud. Ainult retoorika lollidele ja endale rahustamiseks.

Mul sama mulje jäänud. Ei ole ei ameeriklastel ega pehmostunud "vanal- euroopal" suuremat huvi Euroopa keskpunkti uue sõjaliselt tugeva ja perspektiivis suure majandusliku potentsiaaliga konkurendi ehk regionaalse suurriigi tekkimise osas. Reaalselt näiteks pragmaatilises liidus Poolaga oleks nad supertegijad. Minu avamus. Lühike.

[Gideonic]

Mul sama mulje jäänud. Ei ole ei ameeriklastel ega pehmostunud "vanal- euroopal" suuremat huvi Euroopa keskpunkti uue sõjaliselt tugeva ja perspektiivis suure majandusliku potentsiaaliga konkurendi ehk regionaalse suurriigi tekkimise osas. Reaalselt näiteks pragmaatilises liidus Poolaga oleks nad supertegijad. Minu avamus. Lühike.

Kahjuks tundub jah sedaviisi, lihtsalt liiga palju on sihilikku tegemata-jätmist lisaks kõigele sellele "eskalatsiooni-kartusele" (mis ei ole ka kindlasti täiel määral siiras)

Hea näide on see, et selle kuu lõpuga aegub enamik $7,8 miljardist, mis maikuus eraldati presidendile Ukraina abi andmiseks. Viimased abipaketid on olnud nii $200 miljonit juuli lõpus ja $125 miljonit augustis.

Teha oleks selle raha eest väga palju. Ka seda, mis mitte kuidagi ei puutu "Venemaa ründamisse" ega "eskalatsiooni". Näiteks oleks USA vabalt võtta hiljuti pensionile saadetud F-16 Block 50. Kohe kindlasti kümneid kui mitte üle saja (loomulikult tahaks värskenduskuuri aga sellega oleks saanud ammu alustada). Ka piloodiõpet oleks saanud kiirendada, aga seda tehti minuteada ainult esimesele kuuele piloodile.

Mis veelgi hullem, Bideni administratsioon otseselt lubas veebruars asuda juhtima F-16 hooldamist, seda tsiviilfirmade kaudu, mis tegeleks sellega otse Ukrainas. Nüüd sujuvalt leiti et see on "liiga riskantne" ja plaanitakse ilmselt kogu hooldus jätta euroopa õlule Lockheed Martin räägib et hea meelega aitaksid siis kas hooldusega Poolas või piloodiväljaõppega Rumeenias, aga neilt pole seda riigi poolt isegi küsitud.


Ja siis teiselt poolt siis sellised käigud Venemaaga (pole küll otseselt USA administratsiooniga seotud, aga vaevalt et nende resoluutsel vastuolekul seda teha saaks).

Vägisi jääb mulje et Venemaa tekitab USAs lolli lootust kuidas kõigega saab mugavalt Status Quo juurde naasta kui ainult "paar pisiasja" tema meelejärgi tehakse (andes ise siis mingeid mõttetuid ja kergesti tagasivõetavaid lubadusi nagu Putin mainis, et võibolla kunagi kauges tulevikus anname isegi Zaporižžja tuumajaama tagasi).

Ja Lääneriikide juhid on sedavõrd pimestatud sellest võimalusest et igasugu ratsionaalsust ignoreeritakse.

Nutt ja hala:

Ausaltöeldes, oma piirangute ja kokkulepetega üle meie peade ja ukrainlaste eludest hoolimata on Saksamaa ja USA näidanud, et on valmis ükskõik milleks et ainult jummala eest Vennemaaga otsest konflikti saaks vältida. Mis see Ida-Euroopa ära kinkimine siis ei ole mingi järjekordse vattide katteta lubaduse eest.

Loomulikult näiteks Saksamaa sõja korral kisendab kohe taevani et "Artikkel 5 töötab, meie brigaad on ju Leedus!" Et siis asuda esimesl tunnil läbirääkimsitele kuidas saaks nad ikka relvi maha pannes minimaalse hukkunute arvuga sealt minema koos peredega ...

Hala lõpp

[kaur3]

Järgmisel nädalal algab Lääne-Euroopas NATO liikmesriikide õhujõudude tuumaheidutuse õppus, kes on sertifitseeritud USA tuumarelva kasutama. Tabel on 2022. aastast ja hollandlased peaks tänavu juba F-35 lennukitega väljas olema. Meie kandi meestest on soomlased kohal.

[kaur3]

https://fas.org/publication/nato-tactic ... -upgrades/

[kaur3]

Et mitte jätta muljet, et NATO peaks Trummi mõttekäigu peale püksid maha laskma, on hariv lugemine siin.

116-leheküljeline rootslaste raport Vene "mulli" lõhkumisest Balti mere piirkonnas.

Bursting the Bubble. Russian A2/AD in the Baltic Sea Region: Capabilities, Countermeasures, and Implications

ROBERT DALSJÖ, CHRISTOFER BERGLUND, MICHAEL JONSSON

Keywords: A2/AD; The Baltic Sea Region; NATO; Russia; air defense; anti-ship missiles; radar; decoy targets; Iskander; S-400; Bastion

https://www.foi.se/rest-api/report/FOI-R--4651--SE

Rootslaste raporti seisukohti jagab ka "War on the Rocks-i" artikkel.

So prevalent are scary A2/AD narratives that deflationary reports have started to come out, such as a recent publication by colleagues at Sweden’s Defence Research Agency titled Bursting the Bubble. These are welcome corrections to inflationary think tank reports and media hype

https://warontherocks.com/2019/09/its-t ... challenge/

Äsjase Iisraeli Iraani rünnaku käigus pihta saanud S-300 jutt sobib hästi siia "mullide" teemasse.
https://www.twz.com/news-features/israe ... -officials

[kaur3]

Mullide jutu juurde Iisraeli teadaanne, et kõik Iraani S-300 õhutõrje on hävitatud. Eks aja jooksul selgub täpsemalt mida "kõige" all mõeldakse.

[vilhelm]

Ungari välisminister Minskis osa võtmas "rahvusvahelisel Euraasia julgeoleku konverentsil". Osa võtsid riigid nagu Venemaa, Hiina, Iraan ja Süüria.

https://www.svoboda.org/a/v-nato-rastyo ... 81883.html

Svoboda uudisloos viide ka Politico artiklile sel teemal, et NATO riikide esindajad on üha enam mures Ungari lähedaste suhete pärast Venemaaga ja Hiinaga, muuhulgas ka seepärast, et Ungari keeldus hiljuti osa võtmast selleteemalisest arutelust USA Budapesti saatkonnas.

https://www.politico.eu/article/hungary ... o-meeting/